x.com/g_shullenberger/status/2061054570080395421
1 correction found
paper ends with AI annihilating humanity in just a few years
"AI 2027" does not have a single ending where AI annihilates humanity. Its official site says it has two endings—a "slowdown" and a "race" ending—and Scott Alexander's own introduction presents human destruction only as one conditional possibility if AI is misaligned.
Full reasoning
The post describes AI 2027 as if it has one definitive ending: AI annihilates humanity within a few years. But the official project page explicitly says otherwise: "We wrote two endings: a 'slowdown' and a 'race' ending." It also says the authors later "wrote a new alternative branch because we wanted to also depict a more hopeful way things could end."
Scott Alexander's own introduction likewise does not say the scenario simply ends with humanity's destruction. He writes that "If AI is misaligned, it could move against humans as early as 2030"—a conditional statement—and immediately contrasts that with a different branch: "If it gets aligned successfully ... Humanity starts colonizing space at the very end of the 2020s / early 2030s."
So the claim is incorrect because it collapses a branching scenario into a single annihilation ending. One branch is catastrophic, but the work itself explicitly includes another, more hopeful ending.
2 sources
- AI 2027
We wrote two endings: a "slowdown" and a "race" ending... After we finished the first ending-which is now colored red-we wrote a new alternative branch because we wanted to also depict a more hopeful way things could end.
- Introducing AI 2027 - by Scott Alexander - Astral Codex Ten
If AI is misaligned, it could move against humans as early as 2030... If it gets aligned successfully... Humanity starts colonizing space at the very end of the 2020s / early 2030s.