x.com/JTAlexander_/status/2032221560518688994?s=20
1 correction found
None of this is actually because of damage Iran can or has caused.
That is incorrect: Iran’s attacks caused documented physical damage to ships and forced energy facilities to shut down, so the disruption was not just fear without damage.
Full reasoning
The post claims the disruption is not actually because of damage Iran can or has caused. But reporting from March 2026 documents real physical hits on merchant vessels and shutdowns at major Gulf energy facilities after attacks.
- Reuters reported on March 11, 2026 that projectiles hit three ships in the Strait of Hormuz area, including one vessel where a fire started after the impact.
- AP reported that QatarEnergy halted LNG production due to attacks on facilities, and that Saudi Aramco shut down its Ras Tanura refinery after a drone struck the facility and ignited a fire.
Those are concrete examples of actual damage and operational disruption caused by Iranian attacks. Even if fear and insurance costs also mattered, the claim that "none" of the slowdown or shipping disruption is because of damage Iran has caused is contradicted by the record of ships being struck and facilities being taken offline after attack-related damage.
2 sources
- Projectiles hit 3 ships in Strait of Hormuz as tanker disruptions worsen (Reuters)
Projectiles struck three ships in the Strait of Hormuz area on Wednesday, one of which started a fire, worsening disruptions to tanker traffic in the vital waterway.
- Qatar says LNG production has ceased after attacks on facilities, Saudi Arabia warns of more disruption | AP News
QatarEnergy halted production of liquefied natural gas due to military attacks on its facilities. Saudi Aramco also shut down its refinery in Ras Tanura after a drone struck the facility and ignited a fire.