en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polymarket
4 corrections found
Polymarket blocked access to United States customers from 2022 to December 2, 2025
This end date is wrong. Reuters reported that the CFTC approved Polymarket’s U.S. relaunch on September 3, 2025, and a CFTC filing shows Polymarket US was designated in July 2025.
Full reasoning
The article says U.S. customers were blocked until December 2, 2025, but contemporaneous reporting and CFTC records show Polymarket’s U.S. return happened earlier.
- A Reuters report published September 3, 2025 says the CFTC approved Polymarket to relaunch in the United States on that date, "more than three years after its exit."
- A CFTC industry filing shows QCX LLC d/b/a Polymarket US had already been designated on July 9, 2025.
So the statement that U.S. access remained blocked until December 2, 2025 is incorrect; the documented relaunch/approval came months earlier.
2 sources
- Polymarket returns to US after CFTC clears regulatory hurdles | Reuters via WIN 98.5
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission on Wednesday approved Polymarket ... to relaunch in the United States, more than three years after its exit.
- Industry Filings: Designated Contract Markets (DCM) Filing | CFTC
QCX LLC d/b/a Polymarket US ... Status: Designated ... Date: 2025-07-09 00:00:00. Remarks: QCX LLC is now operating under the assumed name of Polymarket US.
In October 2025, Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) invested $2 billion in Polymarket, bringing the company's valuation to $9 billion.
This overstates the deal as a completed $2 billion investment. Contemporary reports and ICE’s announcement said ICE agreed to invest up to $2 billion, with Polymarket valued at about $8 billion pre-investment.
Full reasoning
This sentence misstates the October 2025 ICE deal.
- ICE’s own announcement said it would invest up to $2 billion in Polymarket, not that it had already invested a completed $2 billion in October 2025.
- The same announcement said that amount reflected a valuation of approximately $8 billion pre-investment.
- AP’s contemporaneous coverage likewise described the transaction as "to invest up to $2 billion".
So the sentence is incorrect in presenting the transaction as a completed $2 billion investment in October 2025, and it does not match the valuation language used in the primary announcement.
2 sources
- ICE Announces Strategic Investment in Polymarket
Under the terms of the agreement, ICE will invest up to $2 billion in Polymarket, reflecting a valuation of approximately $8 billion pre-investment.
- Intercontinental Exchange to invest up to $2 billion in Polymarket | AP News
Intercontinental Exchange to invest up to $2 billion in Polymarket.
On November 14, 2025, the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) indicated that Russian forces had advanced into downtown Myrnohrad, despite no evidence to support such an advance.
This date and characterization are wrong. Reporting and ISW’s own statement say the problematic map edit was an unauthorized overnight edit on November 15–16, not an official ISW indication on November 14.
Full reasoning
The article presents this as if ISW itself indicated on November 14, 2025 that Russian forces had advanced into downtown Myrnohrad. But the reporting on the incident says otherwise.
- NPR’s interview with 404 Media says that on November 15, just before 6 a.m., someone with access to ISW’s map edited it to make it appear Russia had advanced into the city.
- A later report quoting ISW’s own public statement says the problem was an "unauthorized and unapproved edit" made "on the night of November 15-16 EST" and removed before the normal workflow on November 16.
So this was not an official ISW indication on November 14. It was described as an unauthorized map edit that occurred later, overnight on November 15–16.
2 sources
- On online prediction markets, people place bets on the outcomes of real-life wars | NPR via WLRN
On November 15, just before 6 a.m. in the morning, somebody who had access to the map edited the map to make it appear as if Russia had advanced into the city and taken the square.
- Staffer for U.S. Think Tank Edited Ukraine War Map Ahead of Polymarket Payout
“It has come to ISW’s attention that an unauthorized and unapproved edit to the interactive map of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine was made on the night of November 15-16 EST,” the ISW posted on its website last month.
Kalshi – U.S. based online prediction market, exclusive to U.S. users
This is outdated. Kalshi’s own help documentation says the platform is now accessible internationally, not exclusive to U.S. users.
Full reasoning
Kalshi is not currently limited to U.S. users.
Kalshi’s official Help Center says:
- "Kalshi is accessible internationally" and that some international jurisdictions remain restricted.
- Its international eligibility page also says "Kalshi is accessible from many countries."
So describing Kalshi as "exclusive to U.S. users" is inaccurate.
2 sources
- Signing Up as an Individual | Kalshi Help Center
Kalshi is now accessible internationally. Some international jurisdictions remain restricted, which are outlined in "Section VI. Representations and Warranties" of the Kalshi Member Agreement.
- International Access & Eligibility | Kalshi Help Center
Kalshi is accessible from many countries. Eligibility is subject to the terms of the Kalshi Member Agreement.