philiptrammell.substack.com/p/capital-in-the-22nd-century?utm_source=substack&ut...
3 corrections found
The US Gini coefficient for income before redistribution is currently 0.42
0.42 is not the current U.S. pretax/before-redistribution Gini. Official Census data put the 2024 pretax money-income Gini at 0.488.
Full reasoning
This sentence mislabels the U.S. income Gini.
- The article cites FRED series SIPOVGINIUSA, which FRED describes simply as the World Bank GINI Index for the United States; the series notes do not describe it as a “before redistribution” measure.
- For high-income countries, the World Bank’s inequality data are mostly drawn from the Luxembourg Income Study (LIS). LIS’s own methodology says that all Key Figures use disposable household income, i.e. income after taxes and transfers, not pre-redistribution income.
- By contrast, the U.S. Census Bureau’s official pretax concept is money income, which it defines as income received before payments for taxes and not including noncash benefits. In its latest report, the Census Bureau says the 2024 Gini index on that pretax measure was 0.488, not 0.42.
So the numeric claim is incorrect as stated: a current U.S. before-redistribution/pretax Gini is not 0.42.
4 sources
- LIS Cross-National Data Center in Luxembourg — Key Figures Methods
Income Concept: All Key Figures use the LIS data on disposable household income.
- GINI Index for the United States (SIPOVGINIUSA) | FRED | St. Louis Fed
Source: World Bank ... Notes: Gini index measures the extent to which the distribution of income or consumption expenditure among individuals or households within an economy deviates from a perfectly equal distribution.
- Income in the United States: 2024 | U.S. Census Bureau
The income estimates in the main sections of this report are based on the concept of money income, which is pretax and does not account for the value of in-kind transfers.
- Income in the United States: 2024 (PDF) | U.S. Census Bureau
the Gini index was 0.488 in 2024
Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act (FACTA)
The law’s acronym is FATCA, not FACTA.
Full reasoning
This names the statute incorrectly. The IRS’s official name is the Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act (FATCA). The article uses the wrong acronym: FACTA.
1 source
- Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act (FATCA) | Internal Revenue Service
The Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act (FATCA), which was passed as part of the HIRE Act...
a 30% tax on all payments from the US
FATCA does not impose 30% withholding on all payments from the U.S.; it applies to specified "withholdable payments."
Full reasoning
This overstates FATCA’s scope.
The IRS explains that FATCA requires certain foreign financial institutions and entities to report U.S. account holders or be subject to withholding on withholdable payments. That is narrower than “all payments from the US.”
So the article is incorrect to describe FATCA as imposing a blanket 30% charge on all U.S.-source payments.
1 source
- Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act (FATCA) | Internal Revenue Service
The Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act (FATCA) ... generally requires that foreign financial institutions and certain other non-financial foreign entities report on the foreign assets held by their U.S. account holders or be subject to withholding on withholdable payments.