x.com/wil_da_beast630/status/2042072213075923448
1 correction found
Black people make up 13% of the population, and commit ~15% of Index/felony violent crimes vs whites/Caucasians (BJS-NCVS 2023).
The cited BJS/NCVS 2023 data do not show Black offenders at ~15% of violent crime. BJS reports Black offenders were perceived in 24.0% of violent incidents in 2023, versus 53.7% for white offenders.
Full reasoning
This sentence attributes a specific crime-share figure to "BJS-NCVS 2023", but the Bureau of Justice Statistics' 2023 NCVS report says otherwise.
In Criminal Victimization, 2023, BJS table 11 reports that Black people were 12.2% of the population but were the perceived offenders in 24.0% of violent incidents in 2023. The same table reports white offenders at 53.7% of violent incidents. That directly contradicts the post's claim that Black people commit "~15%" of these crimes.
BJS's earlier dedicated race/offender comparison report also points in the same direction. In Race and Ethnicity of Violent Crime Offenders and Arrestees, 2018, BJS reported Black offenders at 28.9% of all nonfatal violent-crime offenders and 35.9% of serious nonfatal violent-crime offenders in NCVS data. So whether one looks at BJS's 2023 NCVS violent-incident table or BJS's offender-race comparison report, ~15% is not the BJS figure for Black offenders' share of violent crime.
Because the post explicitly cites BJS-NCVS 2023, and that source gives 24.0%, the numeric claim is incorrect.
2 sources
- Criminal Victimization, 2023 (Bureau of Justice Statistics)
Table 11 states: White offenders 53.7% of violent incidents; Black offenders 24.0%; Hispanic offenders 14.0%. The report text says: 'The proportion of violent incidents with black offenders (24%) was higher than the proportion of black persons in the population (12%).'
- Race and Ethnicity of Violent Crime Offenders and Arrestees, 2018 (Bureau of Justice Statistics)
BJS reported that in 2018 Black offenders accounted for 28.9% of all nonfatal violent-crime offenders in the NCVS and 35.9% of serious nonfatal violent-crime offenders.