www.lesswrong.com/posts/JotRZdWyAGnhjRAHt/tail-sp-500-call-options
2 corrections found
SPX is an index fund that tracks the SP500. Right now SPX is worth about 6100 per share.
SPX is not an index fund or a share-based security. It is the S&P 500 index itself, so it has an index level, not a per-share price.
Full reasoning
This statement mixes up SPX with SPY or another S&P 500 fund.
- SPX is the ticker commonly used for the S&P 500 Index in index-derivatives markets. Cboe's official SPX page describes SPX options as "S&P 500 Index (SPX) options" and repeatedly refers to the underlying as the S&P 500 index. Because SPX is an index, it does not represent ownership of fund shares and does not have a "per share" price.
- By contrast, SPY is an actual ETF/fund. State Street's official SPY page calls it the "SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust" and says it seeks to track the S&P 500 Index. That is the kind of product that has shares.
So the post's wording is incorrect in two ways: SPX is not an index fund, and saying SPX is worth a certain amount "per share" is also wrong because SPX has an index level, not shares.
2 sources
- S&P 500 Index Options | Cboe
Cboe S&P 500 Index (SPX) options offer broad exposure to 500 leading U.S. companies... SPX options ... based on current S&P 500 index level for today's option expiration.
- SPY: State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
The State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust seeks to provide investment results that... correspond generally to the price and yield performance of the S&P 500 Index.
Such calls cost about 6.6 per contract. If SPX goes to 10K those options will pay 100 per contract so 15x.
Listed equity/ETF option quotes are usually shown on a per-share basis, not as the total dollar amount for one contract. A quoted premium of 6.6 means about $660 per standard contract, and a value of 100 means about $10,000 per contract.
Full reasoning
This passage confuses an option's quoted price with the total dollar value of one contract.
For standard equity/ETF options such as SPY options:
- one contract usually represents 100 shares of the underlying; and
- the premium is quoted on a per-share basis.
So a quoted option price of 6.6 does not mean the contract costs $6.60 total; it means about $660 per contract (6.6 × 100). Likewise, if the option's value at expiration were 100, that would mean about $10,000 per contract (100 × 100), not $100 total.
The post's 15x ratio is based on the quoted numbers and is directionally consistent, but the wording "per contract" is factually wrong and understates the actual dollar amounts by a factor of 100.
2 sources
- Options Basics | Options Industry Council
Equity option contracts usually represent 100 shares of the underlying stock. An option's price is called the premium and is priced at a per share basis.
- Equity Options Specifications | Cboe
Underlying: Generally, 100 shares of one of the exchange-traded products (Exchange-Traded Fund - ETF; or Exchange-Traded Note - ETN) above.