x.com/rin3ten/status/2099413404658393438
1 correction found
(整形をしていない人の45倍)
The "45 times" figure is not a statistic about people who have had cosmetic surgery. It comes from a study of patients with body dysmorphic disorder (BDD), a separate psychiatric diagnosis, and cosmetic-surgery studies report much lower figures.
Full reasoning
This parenthetical claim misattributes a BDD suicide statistic to people who had cosmetic surgery.
What the 45× number actually refers to:
- The paper "Suicidality in body dysmorphic disorder: a prospective study" followed 185 subjects with body dysmorphic disorder (BDD) for up to 4 years. Its abstract states that, after adjustment, the completed suicide rate was approximately 45 times higher than in the general population. In other words, the 45× figure is about BDD patients, not about everyone in a "cosmetic-surgery cluster."
Why that matters:
- A systematic review/meta-analysis of plastic-surgery patients found that about 15.04% of plastic-surgery patients had BDD. That means BDD is important in this population, but it is not equivalent to all cosmetic-surgery patients; applying a BDD-specific 45× figure to all people who have had cosmetic surgery is an overgeneralization.
What cosmetic-surgery suicide research actually reports:
- In a review of epidemiologic studies on cosmetic breast implants, the suicide rate was reported as approximately twice the expected rate based on the general population, and the review notes that the largest study found no difference versus women who underwent other forms of cosmetic surgery.
- Another systematic review on cosmetic breast augmentation identified a 2-3 times increased suicide risk, again far below 45× and limited to a specific subgroup rather than all cosmetic-surgery patients.
So the post's "45 times" claim is inaccurate because it takes a statistic from BDD patients and presents it as if it were a statistic for people who have had cosmetic surgery in general.
4 sources
- Suicidality in body dysmorphic disorder: a prospective study - PubMed
Results: Suicidal ideation was reported by a mean of 57.8% of the subjects per year, and a mean of 2.6% attempted suicide per year. ... With adjustment for age, gender, and geographic region, our completed suicide rate was approximately 45 times higher than in the general population ... the standardized mortality ratio for BDD was approximately 45.
- Prevalence of Body Dysmorphic Disorder in Plastic Surgery and Dermatology Patients: A Systematic Review with Meta-Analysis - PubMed
The study verified that 15.04% of plastic surgery patients had body dysmorphic disorder (range 2.21-56.67%).
- Cosmetic breast augmentation and suicide - PubMed
Across the six studies, the suicide rate of women who received cosmetic breast implants is approximately twice the expected rate based on estimates of the general population. ... the largest and most recent investigation in this area found no difference in the rate of suicide between these two groups of women.
- Characteristics of women who have had cosmetic breast implants that could be associated with increased suicide risk: a systematic review, proposing a suicide prevention model - PubMed
A 2-3 times increased suicide risk among women that undergo cosmetic breast augmentation has been identified.