All corrections
Substack February 25, 2026 at 10:56 PM

www.astralcodexten.com/p/mantic-monday-the-monkeys-paw-curls

1 correction found

1
Claim
Domer: How many people watched the Oscars on 3/5/25?:
Correction

The 2025 Oscars ceremony (the 97th Academy Awards) took place on March 2, 2025—not March 5, 2025.

Full reasoning

The post frames the market as referring to “the Oscars on 3/5/25” (i.e., March 5, 2025). But the 97th Academy Awards ceremony occurred on Sunday, March 2, 2025.

The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences’ official Oscars page for the 2025 ceremony lists the date explicitly as “Sunday, March 2, 2025.” Therefore, describing the Oscars as being on 3/5/25 is incorrect.

2 sources
Model: OPENAI_GPT_5 Prompt: v1.6.0