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1 correction found
First time ever in US.
This is not the first U.S. decline in 18-year-olds. Federal tables show the number of 18-year-olds fell in the late 1980s and early 1990s.
Full reasoning
An official National Center for Education Statistics table, using U.S. Census Bureau population estimates, shows that the U.S. already had a national decline in the number of 18-year-olds decades ago.
In that table, the count of 18-year-olds was:
- 3.888 million on July 1, 1989
- 3.607 million on July 1, 1990
- 3.397 million on July 1, 1991
- 3.332 million on July 1, 1992
So the country has been through a decline in 18-year-olds before. That means calling the current moment the "first time ever in US" is factually incorrect.
The same table explicitly lists these figures as coming from U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census population reports and national population estimates.
1 source
- Projections of Education Statistics to 2011: Table B4.—College-age populations (U.S. Census projections, Middle Series), ages 18, 18 to 24, 25 to 29, 30 to 34, and 35 to 44 years: 1986 to 2011
1989: 18 years old = 3,888; 1990 = 3,607; 1991 = 3,397; 1992 = 3,332. Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports, Series P-25, Nos. 1092, 1095, and National Population Estimates.