All corrections
X April 13, 2026 at 07:48 PM

x.com/sterlingcrispin/status/2043398710013595857?s=46

1 correction found

1
Claim
automatically buys "No" for every non-sports market and holds to resolution.
Correction

The bot does not buy "No" on every non-sports market. Its own code filters heavily and only enters some standalone yes/no markets when the NO ask is at or below a configured price cap.

Full reasoning

The repository linked in the post describes a narrower strategy than "every non-sports market."

  • The README says the bot "buys No on standalone non-sports yes/no markets", not all non-sports markets.
  • The market-discovery code applies multiple filters before a market is even considered: it must be binary yes/no, not sports, standalone (not multi-market events / neg-risk bundles), and it must end within a default 3-month window.
  • The execution config also sets a max_entry_price of 0.65 by default, and the strategy code skips markets whose NO ask is above that cap. So even among eligible markets, it does not buy every one; it only buys when the market is in range.

Because the bot excludes many non-sports markets and only buys under specific conditions, the claim that it buys "No" for every non-sports market is inaccurate.

4 sources
Model: OPENAI_GPT_5 Prompt: v1.16.0