en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AI_Futures_Project#AI_2027
4 corrections found
Jonas Vollmer
This is out of date. The AI Futures Project’s official site now lists Lauren Mangla—not Jonas Vollmer—as Chief Operating Officer.
Full reasoning
The official AI Futures Project team page lists Lauren Mangla as Chief Operating Officer. The official AI 2027 site also includes a changelog entry stating that on January 7, 2026, the team info was edited to “Replace Jonas Vollmer with Lauren Mangla.” That means the page’s claim that the COO is Jonas Vollmer is no longer correct.
2 sources
- About - AI Futures Project
Lauren Mangla Chief Operating Officer ... Lauren works on comms, media relations, hiring, and tabletop exercises, and manages the ops team.
- About - AI 2027
January 7th Edit team info on About page. Replace Jonas Vollmer with Lauren Mangla.
with editing assistance from blogger Scott Alexander
The official AI 2027 materials credit Scott Alexander more prominently than as an editor: he is listed in the byline and is described as having rewritten the text in an engaging style.
Full reasoning
The official AI 2027 site does not treat Scott Alexander as merely someone who provided minor editing help. On the front page, he appears directly in the report’s byline alongside Daniel Kokotajlo, Thomas Larsen, Eli Lifland, and Romeo Dean. On the project’s About page, the team says: “Scott Alexander volunteered to rewrite our content in an engaging style; the fun parts of the text are his and the boring parts are ours.”
That is a larger credited role than simple "editing assistance," so this wording understates how the report officially credits him.
2 sources
- AI 2027
April 3rd 2025 ... Daniel Kokotajlo, Scott Alexander, Thomas Larsen, Eli Lifland, Romeo Dean
- About - AI 2027
Scott Alexander volunteered to rewrite our content in an engaging style; the fun parts of the text are his and the boring parts are ours.
The AI Futures Project was founded in 2025
The project’s own public materials indicate it predates 2025. Its LinkedIn page says it was founded in 2024, and an official post from April 3, 2025 says the team had already been working together for more than half a year.
Full reasoning
The organization’s own LinkedIn company page lists “Founded 2024.” That already contradicts the statement that it was founded in 2025.
An official AI Futures Project post published on April 3, 2025 also says: “For more than half a year, we’ve been working together on our first big project: AI 2027.” If the team had already been working together for more than half a year by April 3, 2025, that places the project’s start before 2025.
Because the group’s own public materials place its beginning in 2024, the claim that it was founded in 2025 is inaccurate.
2 sources
- AI Futures Project | LinkedIn
Type Nonprofit Founded 2024
- Our first project: AI 2027 - by Daniel Kokotajlo
The AI Futures Project is a small research nonprofit forecasting the future of AI. For more than half a year, we’ve been working together on our first big project: AI 2027.
The authors emphasize that the narratives are hypothetical and intended as planning tools rather than literal forecasts.
That misstates how the authors describe AI 2027. In their own materials, they call it a “scenario forecast,” say it represents their “best guess,” and explicitly say their goal is “predictive accuracy.”
Full reasoning
The official AI Futures Project announcement calls AI 2027 a “comprehensive and detailed scenario forecast of the future of AI.” The official AI 2027 site goes further, saying: “We wrote a scenario that represents our best guess about what that might look like” and “Our goal is predictive accuracy.”
So while the authors do present the work as a scenario with multiple branches, they do not frame it merely as a planning exercise "rather than literal forecasts." Their own description is that it is a forecast scenario intended to make concrete predictive claims.
2 sources
- Our first project: AI 2027 - by Daniel Kokotajlo
AI 2027 is a comprehensive and detailed scenario forecast of the future of AI.
- AI 2027
We wrote a scenario that represents our best guess about what that might look like... Our goal is predictive accuracy.